Tracking & Forecasts
6-Week Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: THE RUNNING MAN ($22M+), NOW YOU SEE ME: NOW YOU DON’T, and KEEPER to Vie for Moviegoer Attention on Pre-WICKED Finale Frame
Pre-WICKED: FOR GOOD weekend's key releases will be more about their eventual legs than their openings, but could Edgar Wright's high-concept re-imagining upset a 2010s era franchise three-quel?
Box Office Weekend Forecast: TAYLOR SWIFT ($33M+), SMASHING MACHINE ($8-10M+), ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER’s Sophomore Frame and GOOD BOY to Stand Above a Field of Mid-to-Low Profile Openers
Taylor Swift is back to give the box office a much needed boost on a weekend where openers are looking muted and the holdover market lacks the benefit of recent tentpole performers in chase frames.
6-Week Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: TAYLOR SWIFT | THE OFFICIAL RELEASE PARTY OF A SHOWGIRL ($38-40M+) and PREDATOR: BADLANDS ($25M+) Early Outlooks
If models hold up, Taylor Swift will be second only to Taylor Swift in concert- and concert-adjacent box office opening weekends. Plus, can PREDATOR: BADLANDS mimic some of the ALIEN: ROMULUS franchise revival heat?
Box Office Weekend Forecast: ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER ($20M+) to Lean on DiCaprio’s Drawing Power; GABBY’S DOLLHOUSE and THE STRANGERS: CHAPTER 2 to Counter
Pre-release narratives are already debating whether PTA and Leo's crime comedy will be successful from a budget standpoint, but theaters and moviegoers are already winners with OBAA's release.
6-Week Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: BACK TO THE FUTURE & TWILIGHT Re-Issues to Highlight Halloween; ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER and More Updates
The fall slate continues to take shape as reach the end of October's outlook in our public report.
Box Office Weekend Forecast: HIM ($18M+) Takes on DEMON SLAYER: INFINITY CASTLE’s 2nd Frame ($13M+), THE CONJURING’s 3rd Chase Weekend, and Other Openers
A fresh sports-horror hybrid and key holdovers will strive to keep September's better-than-expected market rolling along.
6-Week Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: BLACK PHONE 2, SPRINGSTEEN, GOOD FORTUNE, REGRETTING YOU, and More Updates
Returning to our 6-week outlooks, October's key theatrical players are beginning to come into full view.
Box Office Weekend Forecast: DEMON SLAYER: INFINITY CASTLE ($70M+), DOWNTON ABBEY: THE GRAND FINALE ($19M+), and CONJURING’s Holdover to Drive Strong Mid-Month Frame
Anime goes as mainstream as it's ever gone in the domestic market this weekend thanks to DEMON SLAYER, while DOWNTON ABBEY and THE LONG WALK aim to counter-program with varying degrees of results.
5-Week Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: TRON: ARES Hopes to Boot Up $42-46M+ Domestic Start, Premium Screens Dominate Early Pre-Sales
Plus, DEMON SLAYER: INFINITY CASTLE continues to bewilder as domestic box office expectations soar higher.
Box Office Weekend Forecast: THE CONJURING: LAST RITES Eyes Franchise Record ($60M+) Debut, HAMILTON to Score Strong Counter-Programming Win
Warner Bros.' horror- and horror-adjacent dominance over September records will extend further this weekend, while Disney counters with one of the most successful musicals of all time.