Tracking & Forecasts
Box Office Weekend Forecast: 28 YEARS LATER ($26-30M+) and Pixar’s ELIO ($18-20M+) Open for Juneteenth as HOW TO TRAIN YOUR DRAGON Sets Sights on a #1 Repeat
Universal's live-action remake will likely claim the top spot again as Sony counter-programs, but Disney and Pixar run into unfortunate timing with their latest well-reviewed original animation.
Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: SUPERMAN Pre-Sales Strong, But Emphasize Complex Range of Potential; F1 ($56M+) Continues to Impress; FANTASTIC FOUR ($125M+) Rolls Along
After a complicated ticket on-sale start, our updated models for DC Studios' flagship film consider a slightly lower floor of box office potential while still leaning on its more bullish potential.
Box Office Weekend Forecast: HOW TO TRAIN YOUR DRAGON ($70M+) and MATERIALISTS ($11M+) Look Toward Healthy Starts on Father’s Day Frame
Universal and DreamWorks' first venture into live-action remakes of beloved animated properties looks to set a new franchise-record on opening weekend, while A24's star-billed rom-com counters with young adult appeal.
Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: THE FANTASTIC FOUR: FIRST STEPS ($125-136M+) Eyes One of Marvel’s Best Late Summer Debuts; Early Outlooks for I KNOW WHAT YOU DID LAST SUMMER and SMURFS
The 36th MCU entry is promising a pivotal, family-centric reboot of a decades-long, fan-favorite ensemble. Meanwhile, late June openers continue to show significant box office promise.
Box Office Weekend Forecast: LILO & STITCH Eyes Another #1 Frame as BALLERINA ($26-30M+) Opens and MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE Commands IMAX for Another Weekend
Disney's blockbuster remake looks safe in first place for one more weekend as Lionsgate's JOHN WICK spin-off hopes to validate broader franchise hopes with Ana de Armas in the lead.
Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: Will SUPERMAN ($154M-175M+) Soar to 2025’s Best Opening, Potential Milestones for DC and James Gunn?
Where SUPERMAN lands will depend as much on the crowd-friendly quotient of the film itself as well as how willing audiences are to embrace Gunn's vision of optimism personified by the Man of Steel.
Box Office Weekend Forecast: LILO & STITCH and MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE to Remain In Command, KARATE KID: LEGENDS ($15M+) Likely to Underperform vs. Expectations
Stitch and Tom Cruise will anchor another box office weekend fresh off the historic Memorial Day frame, but Sony's legacy IP revival will miss once bullish forecasts.
Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: JURASSIC WORLD REBIRTH ($116-135M 5-Day), Plus Significant Updates on KARATE KID: LEGENDS and BALLERINA
Diminished returns are probably inevitable for the seventh JURASSIC installment after mixed reception toward the 2018 and 2022 sequels, but a new star and calendar timing could still help it rival Fourth of July holiday records.
Box Office Weekend Forecast: LILO & STITCH ($190M-200M+ 4-Day) and MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE – THE FINAL RECKONING ($75M-80M+) Barreling Toward Record $325M+ Memorial Frame
After one of the worst Memorial Days in history last year, the page will turn in a seismic way thanks to an adorable modern Disney mascot and Tom Cruise doing what nobody does better.
Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: F1 ($47M+) and M3GAN 2.0 ($16-21M) Early Prospects; LILO & STITCH and MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE Continue Pacing for Historic Memorial Day Frame
F1 shows early promise as an original midsummer sleeper hit, while Memorial Day continues to look like a potentially record-breaking weekend thanks to STITCH and Tom Cruise's final MISSION.