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Tracking & Forecasts

22 Apr
Tracking & Forecasts

Box Office Weekend Forecast: MICHAEL ($74-95M) Hopes to Sing Past the Critics’ Chorus as Tracking Remains Impressive, But With Caution

Posted by author-avatar Shawn Robbins
April 22, 2026
The story of Michael Jackson's polarizing life and career will begin on the big screen this weekend in Lionsgate's anticipated biopic. Will audiences be swayed by reviews?
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10 Apr
Tracking & Forecasts

Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: Will THE MANDALORIAN & GROGU ($71M+ 3-Day) Help Revive STAR WARS on the Big Screen for Memorial Weekend?

Posted by author-avatar Shawn Robbins
April 10, 2026
Can one of the most beloved characters in the 49-year history of STAR WARS shepherd an effective transition away from the generationally iconic franchise's streaming-centric era?
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03 Apr
Tracking & Forecasts

Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: THE DEVIL WEARS PRADA 2, MICHAEL, and MORTAL KOMBAT II Continue Pacing for a Healthy Pre-Memorial Day Window; MARIO GALAXY Flying to $180-190M+ Start

Posted by author-avatar Shawn Robbins
April 3, 2026
As MARIO GALAXY dominates Easter weekend, spring movie season is again in a solid spot as year-over-year box office is up more than 23%.
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01 Apr
Tracking & Forecasts

Box Office Weekend Forecast: THE SUPER MARIO GALAXY MOVIE Trending Toward $170-185M+ 5-Day Easter Launch; PROJECT HAIL MARY and THE DRAMA Eye Strong Holiday Takes

Posted by author-avatar Shawn Robbins
April 1, 2026
With over half of schools around the country out for Good Friday and Easter Sunday, Universal and Illumination's sequel is (again) perfectly timed.
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27 Mar
Tracking & Forecasts

Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: MORTAL KOMBAT II ($40-45M+) Looks to Land R-Rated Video Game Punch; SUPER MARIO GALAXY & MICHAEL Updates

Posted by author-avatar Shawn Robbins
March 27, 2026
The video game movie renaissance is poised to continue with Karl Urban's Johnny Cage highlighting strong early marketing for Warner Bros. and Midway's MKII.
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25 Mar
Tracking & Forecasts

Box Office Weekend Forecast: PROJECT HAIL MARY Eyes $43-49M+ Second Frame and More PLF Dominance as Stellar Word of Mouth Spreads Like Astrophage

Posted by author-avatar Shawn Robbins
March 25, 2026
Believe in the Hail Mary... to score an excellent first chase weekend at the box office with no competition and a week to go before SUPER MARIO GALAXY drops.
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20 Mar
Tracking & Forecasts

Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: THE DEVIL WEARS PRADA 2 Shines in Early Trends, Looks to $55M+ May Debut; PROJECT HAIL MARY Soars to $12M in Previews — How High Will It Go?

Posted by author-avatar Shawn Robbins
March 20, 2026
Summer is poised to start strong with THE DEVIL WEARS PRADA 2 hot in early buzz and pre-sales. Meanwhile, PROJECT HAIL MARY could soar above expectations following stellar preview results.
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18 Mar
Tracking & Forecasts

Box Office Weekend Forecast: Andy Weir’s PROJECT HAIL MARY (~$60-70M+) Tracking for a Breakout Launch, Eyes Potential Amazon MGM Record and Career-Best Debuts for Gosling, Lord, & Miller

Posted by author-avatar Shawn Robbins
March 19, 2026
Amazon MGM's most ambitious theatrical release yet could reap the rewards of crowd-pleasing buzz and an audience hunger for 2026's first "must see on the big screen" tentpole.
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13 Mar
Tracking & Forecasts

Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: Can MICHAEL ($52-65M+) Set the Stage for a Late Spring Smash?; PROJECT HAIL MARY ($50-60M+) and SUPER MARIO GALAXY MOVIE Check-Ins

Posted by author-avatar Shawn Robbins
March 13, 2026
After years of speculation and expected controversy, Lionsgate and Antoine Fuqua's MICHAEL could ignite pre-summer box office as an eagerly anticipated biopic.
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11 Mar
Tracking & Forecasts

Box Office Weekend Forecast: Disney & Pixar’s HOPPERS ($25-27M+) to Out-Bounce the Field Again, REMINDERS OF HIM ($8M+) Courts Book Fans, and A24’s UNDERTONE ($7-8M+) Eyes Sleeper Potential

Posted by author-avatar Shawn Robbins
March 11, 2026
With year-to-date box office up 12% from 2025 so far, HOPPERS aims to keep the momentum going in what should be a strong first hold for the original animated hit.
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At Box Office Theory, we're committed to elevating the industry's level of information and planning abilities. With a team of dedicated experts, we provide invaluable insights for theatrical exhibition, film studios, and their vast network of partners. Through meticulous analysis and forward-thinking strategies, we empower our clients to navigate the complexities of the entertainment landscape with confidence.

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